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2023-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% -
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks +15 (109-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 6-18 1-9 1-1 7 9 1 0 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 33 7-15 2-7 3-4 4 2 1 2 19 - -
Derrick White * 31 4-11 0-5 5-5 6 4 0 1 13 - -
Robert Williams III * 28 3-4 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 2 6 - -
Al Horford * 27 5-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 27 10-16 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 22 - -
Grant Williams 16 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Sam Hauser 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Mike Muscala 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Blake Griffin 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 39 4-12 0-4 9-12 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Julius Randle * 35 7-16 3-9 6-9 7 4 0 0 23 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 31 5-5 0-0 0-4 13 0 2 2 10 - -
RJ Barrett * 25 4-14 1-3 1-1 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Quentin Grimes * 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 1 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 30 7-13 4-7 5-6 3 2 1 0 23 - -
Josh Hart 26 5-8 2-3 0-0 5 5 2 0 12 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 12 3-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Miles McBride 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter