Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 30 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 23 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 39 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joel Embiid * | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey | 27 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter