Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +11 (117-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 30 | 6-15 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 26 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 33 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 24 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 37 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| JT Thor * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 20 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 32 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 27 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - | |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Kai Jones | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter