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2023-02-27

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (134-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 38 12-19 3-4 6-8 6 2 0 1 33 - -
Paul George * 35 6-13 0-4 11-11 4 4 1 1 23 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 32 3-7 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 2-2 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 2 7 - -
Russell Westbrook * 25 6-10 1-2 4-4 5 4 5 0 17 - -
Terance Mann 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Eric Gordon 25 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 - -
Nicolas Batum 21 4-8 3-7 1-1 2 3 2 0 12 - -
Norman Powell 17 4-9 1-3 0-1 0 1 1 0 9 - -
Bones Hyland 14 4-11 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Moussa Diabate 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Amir Coffey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 41 14-21 0-1 12-15 17 10 3 0 40 - -
Jamal Murray * 41 8-22 4-13 1-2 5 12 2 0 21 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 39 12-18 4-8 1-1 11 0 0 0 29 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 37 2-4 1-2 3-3 1 0 3 0 8 - -
Aaron Gordon * 28 3-9 0-5 0-0 6 6 0 0 6 - -
Bruce Brown 29 5-10 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 0 13 - -
Reggie Jackson 19 2-6 2-5 1-2 0 4 1 1 7 - -
Vlatko Cancar 16 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Thomas Bryant 10 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 2 4 - -
Christian Braun 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter