Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (131-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 24 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 30 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 28 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 22-38 | 13-22 | 14-14 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 71 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 35 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 20 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter