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2023-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% -
Points Off/Def 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -9 (115-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 36 11-19 3-9 8-12 3 8 2 0 33 27 -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 6-8 1-1 1-3 15 8 0 0 14 29 -
Harrison Barnes * 32 4-10 1-5 0-0 8 4 0 1 9 12 -
Keegan Murray * 31 7-15 4-9 2-2 6 2 3 0 20 16 -
Kevin Huerter * 19 3-9 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 2 -
Trey Lyles 25 5-8 3-5 3-5 6 3 1 0 16 18 -
Malik Monk 20 4-6 4-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 12 11 -
Davion Mitchell 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 1 -
Terence Davis 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Chimezie Metu 10 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 7 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Giddey * 32 8-10 1-1 1-2 7 5 1 0 18 21 -
Luguentz Dort * 31 7-17 4-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 18 7 -
Jalen Williams * 31 7-12 1-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 15 12 -
Isaiah Joe * 27 6-11 4-8 8-11 0 3 0 0 24 16 -
Jaylin Williams * 13 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 5 7 -
Aaron Wiggins 24 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 7 8 -
Kenrich Williams 20 3-8 0-3 1-3 5 2 2 0 7 8 -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 19 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 7 5 -
Lindy Waters III 16 4-6 3-5 1-1 7 1 2 0 12 16 -
Tre Mann 14 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 -2 -
Dario Saric 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter