Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (108-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 36 | 10-23 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 30 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 3-14 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 26 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 8-22 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 20 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter