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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +20 (102-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 38 4-18 1-8 1-2 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Bradley Beal * 36 7-17 1-3 3-7 7 8 0 0 18 - -
Daniel Gafford * 30 7-9 0-0 1-2 11 1 2 1 15 - -
Delon Wright * 28 6-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Deni Avdija * 27 2-5 1-4 3-4 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Corey Kispert 24 3-9 1-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Jordan Goodwin 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 - -
Kendrick Nunn 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Taj Gibson 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 7 0-0 0-0 3-6 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 11-15 0-0 7-8 2 6 2 0 29 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 11-18 2-4 3-3 1 4 0 1 27 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 7-16 0-6 2-2 13 1 0 0 16 - -
Patrick Beverley * 26 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Alex Caruso * 25 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 3 2 0 6 - -
Coby White 25 6-8 3-5 2-2 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Patrick Williams 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 21 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 13 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter