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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 39 7-18 2-5 2-3 5 7 1 0 18 - -
Devin Booker * 38 9-21 1-5 5-9 4 8 0 0 24 - -
Deandre Ayton * 35 11-21 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 3 22 - -
Josh Okogie * 32 4-7 1-3 2-4 7 0 3 0 11 - -
Torrey Craig * 26 1-7 1-2 0-0 10 4 0 0 3 - -
Ish Wainright 17 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Terrence Ross 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Jock Landale 12 2-5 1-2 2-4 8 1 0 1 7 - -
Damion Lee 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Payne 7 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 35 9-17 2-8 2-4 13 0 0 4 22 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 13-22 4-9 3-4 4 5 1 0 33 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Jevon Carter * 24 2-6 1-5 1-1 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Bobby Portis * 21 3-7 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Joe Ingles 28 1-3 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 4 - -
Khris Middleton 25 4-13 0-3 3-4 10 6 0 0 11 - -
Jae Crowder 24 2-3 2-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Meyers Leonard 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter