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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% -
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.8% 45.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -3 (107-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 7-17 3-8 1-2 13 6 0 1 18 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 10-21 2-4 4-5 4 3 3 0 26 - -
Al Horford * 32 5-9 5-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 15 - -
Robert Williams III * 31 7-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 14 - -
Marcus Smart * 26 4-11 2-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 10 - -
Grant Williams 28 1-6 1-5 1-2 5 2 0 1 4 - -
Derrick White 25 7-9 2-3 2-3 1 2 0 1 18 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 20 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 1 5 - -
Sam Hauser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 41 5-16 2-8 9-9 6 8 3 0 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 39 12-21 0-1 17-18 12 5 0 3 41 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 8-12 3-5 0-2 0 1 1 0 19 - -
P.J. Tucker * 37 2-7 2-4 1-2 16 1 0 0 7 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 24 2-4 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Tyrese Maxey 25 4-10 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 14 2-4 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Georges Niang 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter