Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +18 (112-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 25 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 18 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 21 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 18 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jack White | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Tillman * | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 24 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 24 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| John Konchar | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| David Roddy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter