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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -13 (108-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 33 5-9 2-4 3-4 1 14 0 1 15 22 -
Buddy Hield * 30 3-9 3-8 0-0 4 2 3 0 9 9 -
Myles Turner * 28 11-19 2-4 0-0 8 1 1 1 24 16 -
Andrew Nembhard * 24 5-11 3-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 13 9 -
Aaron Nesmith * 19 2-7 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 2 -
Bennedict Mathurin 28 6-13 2-4 5-6 2 1 1 1 19 11 -
Jordan Nwora 21 8-12 1-5 1-3 8 6 1 0 18 21 -
Jalen Smith 19 3-8 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 5 7 11 -
T.J. McConnell 19 3-6 0-2 0-0 6 7 1 0 6 14 -
Chris Duarte 14 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 6 4 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 7-12 2-5 5-6 6 2 1 0 21 18 -
Paolo Banchero * 32 6-12 0-2 7-9 6 0 1 1 19 15 -
Markelle Fultz * 31 6-14 0-0 6-6 5 3 1 0 18 13 -
Gary Harris * 26 1-8 1-7 2-2 6 1 0 0 5 4 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 17 1-11 0-5 3-6 11 0 1 0 5 6 -
Jalen Suggs 25 4-12 2-5 4-4 5 2 0 2 14 11 -
Bol Bol 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 4 6 -
Moritz Wagner 20 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 6 -
Cole Anthony 16 2-7 0-2 4-4 4 5 0 2 8 12 -
Goga Bitadze 9 2-3 1-1 1-1 6 1 0 0 6 10 -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter