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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% -
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% -
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (91-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 38 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 1 6 - -
Scottie Barnes * 37 5-17 1-5 1-2 7 4 0 0 12 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 7-20 4-12 1-1 1 4 2 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 9-19 1-2 10-13 8 5 3 2 29 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 3-8 0-0 3-6 14 4 2 1 9 - -
Precious Achiuwa 21 3-8 0-0 4-7 6 3 0 0 10 - -
Chris Boucher 20 2-4 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 19 2-5 0-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Thaddeus Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 32 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 6 1 1 3 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 3-16 0-5 4-4 2 10 0 1 10 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 28 5-12 0-3 1-1 9 1 0 0 11 - -
James Wiseman * 20 5-9 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 9 1 0 1 5 - -
Isaiah Livers 29 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Marvin Bagley III 27 9-19 0-2 3-8 18 0 0 1 21 - -
Hamidou Diallo 19 5-13 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 - -
Cory Joseph 10 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
R.J. Hampton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter