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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% -
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 36 5-17 1-7 6-7 10 1 1 1 17 - -
Isaiah Joe * 35 11-17 6-12 0-0 7 0 0 0 28 - -
Jalen Williams * 28 8-14 1-3 5-6 6 4 1 0 22 - -
Jaylin Williams * 26 3-6 2-4 2-4 5 5 1 0 10 - -
Josh Giddey * 24 3-14 0-1 1-2 4 5 0 0 7 - -
Kenrich Williams 27 3-9 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Wiggins 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Tre Mann 15 4-7 2-3 1-1 5 3 0 0 11 - -
Dario Saric 11 2-4 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -
Lindy Waters III 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 9-21 1-7 6-6 6 8 0 0 25 - -
Josh Okogie * 31 4-10 2-7 5-6 7 2 0 0 15 - -
Chris Paul * 31 6-10 1-2 3-5 2 6 0 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 6-11 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 2 14 - -
Torrey Craig * 23 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 1 7 - -
Terrence Ross 22 3-7 3-6 0-0 7 2 1 0 9 - -
Cameron Payne 16 5-9 3-5 1-4 4 0 1 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 16 2-6 1-3 4-4 2 3 0 1 9 - -
Jock Landale 16 1-5 0-1 3-3 7 1 1 0 5 - -
Ish Wainright 13 3-6 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 10 - -

* = starter