Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (26.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +29 (128-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 28 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 21 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Carter * | 33 | 4-17 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton | 17 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Meyers Leonard | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter