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2023-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +17 (136-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 31 6-17 2-10 5-5 1 3 1 0 19 - -
Darius Garland * 30 11-19 4-8 7-7 0 2 2 0 33 - -
Evan Mobley * 29 6-11 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 1 13 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 4-8 0-0 6-6 9 0 0 2 14 - -
Isaac Okoro * 22 1-5 1-3 3-4 6 1 0 1 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 26 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 4 2 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 16 3-7 2-4 2-3 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Ricky Rubio 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 - -
Raul Neto 10 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 - -
Danny Green 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Caris LeVert 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 - -
Robin Lopez 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 34 11-19 2-6 1-1 9 8 1 0 25 - -
Trae Young * 32 8-18 4-7 14-15 3 9 1 0 34 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 28 3-8 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Saddiq Bey * 28 6-9 5-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 19 - -
Clint Capela * 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 3 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 25 6-7 0-0 1-2 11 2 2 3 13 - -
Jalen Johnson 22 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 1 7 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 10 - -
AJ Griffin 17 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Garrison Mathews 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vit Krejci 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter