Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +17 (133-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Reddish * | 34 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little * | 33 | 10-19 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 22 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 18 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Butler Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 25 | 11-15 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 20 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 18 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter