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2023-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 58.6% 41.4% -1.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% -
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 29 3-13 2-7 8-9 1 4 2 0 16 - -
Klay Thompson * 26 8-19 4-11 2-2 2 0 2 0 22 - -
Draymond Green * 24 3-10 0-1 0-0 11 5 1 1 6 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 24 4-12 1-5 1-1 3 5 0 0 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 24 2-7 1-6 0-0 3 1 3 1 5 - -
Ty Jerome 29 8-15 2-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 20 - -
Anthony Lamb 24 0-6 0-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 0 - -
Kevon Looney 19 5-7 0-0 0-1 15 1 1 0 10 - -
JaMychal Green 16 1-5 1-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 10 2-5 0-2 4-4 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 10 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 26 5-20 2-6 1-2 9 8 0 0 13 - -
Anthony Davis * 25 3-5 0-0 6-8 12 1 0 2 12 - -
Malik Beasley * 25 9-16 7-11 0-2 3 1 3 0 25 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 9 2 0 0 4 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Dennis Schroder 27 4-7 1-1 4-4 0 6 1 1 13 - -
Rui Hachimura 25 5-9 0-0 4-4 1 2 0 0 14 - -
Mo Bamba 22 2-5 2-4 4-6 13 1 0 0 10 - -
Austin Reaves 18 6-6 1-1 4-4 2 4 2 0 17 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 8 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 10 - -
Davon Reed 8 0-0 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 0 1 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter