Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 36 | 12-27 | 5-7 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 9-21 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 37 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 30 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter