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2023-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 63.9% 36.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - ✓
Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic +2 (108-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 31 4-10 1-4 3-3 3 5 0 0 12 - -
Jaden Ivey * 30 9-13 5-7 2-4 2 4 0 1 25 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 28 3-12 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 2-6 2-5 4-4 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 2 - -
James Wiseman 23 4-10 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 1 8 - -
Isaiah Livers 21 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 9 - -
Hamidou Diallo 20 5-10 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 1 12 - -
Alec Burks 18 4-4 4-4 4-6 5 3 2 1 16 - -
Cory Joseph 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 31 4-13 0-1 3-5 6 6 0 0 11 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 5-13 0-3 4-6 14 2 1 2 14 - -
Franz Wagner * 30 7-13 2-5 5-5 5 1 0 0 21 - -
Markelle Fultz * 29 6-14 1-2 1-1 2 8 2 1 14 - -
Gary Harris * 27 4-8 4-8 0-0 0 2 2 0 12 - -
Jalen Suggs 21 1-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 - -
Cole Anthony 18 5-12 3-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Moritz Wagner 16 3-4 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Bol Bol 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Jonathan Isaac 16 4-6 2-3 0-0 7 1 2 1 10 - -

* = starter