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2023-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 79.8% 20.2% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 77.2% 22.8% -6.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% -
Points Off/Def 64.4% 35.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (138-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 42 11-24 3-5 5-7 11 3 1 0 30 - -
Jayson Tatum * 41 9-25 3-12 10-11 12 7 2 1 31 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 5-11 1-5 4-5 5 3 2 0 15 - -
Al Horford * 33 3-4 1-2 0-0 7 6 0 1 7 - -
Robert Williams III * 25 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 36 9-12 5-6 1-1 5 7 2 0 24 - -
Derrick White 25 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Sam Hauser 13 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 3 8 - -
Grant Williams 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Luke Kornet 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 39 7-14 3-8 5-5 1 14 3 2 22 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 7-14 4-10 0-1 5 2 1 0 18 - -
Myles Turner * 36 13-15 8-10 6-7 10 2 0 1 40 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 34 3-7 0-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 9 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 7-14 2-4 3-4 7 4 2 0 19 - -
Jordan Nwora 18 2-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Theis 16 3-7 1-3 1-2 5 3 1 2 8 - -
Chris Duarte 16 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 - -

* = starter