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2023-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -6 (109-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 35 8-13 2-2 6-6 18 13 2 0 24 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 6-6 4-4 1-1 3 2 3 2 17 - -
Jamal Murray * 33 6-19 3-11 1-2 1 9 2 0 16 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 28 8-14 6-10 3-3 6 0 0 1 25 - -
Vlatko Cancar * 26 3-6 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 21 5-10 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Reggie Jackson 18 2-8 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Thomas Bryant 11 0-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 - -
Christian Braun 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 37 12-19 2-4 5-5 9 1 1 1 31 - -
Darius Garland * 36 7-20 1-6 7-8 1 5 2 0 22 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 35 9-22 2-7 2-2 3 3 4 0 22 - -
Jarrett Allen * 29 6-10 0-0 2-2 13 2 1 0 14 - -
Isaac Okoro * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Caris LeVert 31 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 9 0 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 26 2-8 1-6 0-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Lamar Stevens 13 2-3 0-1 1-1 4 0 2 0 5 - -
Dean Wade 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter