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2023-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 33 13-18 3-6 4-7 7 2 0 4 33 28 -
Jevon Carter * 32 9-13 4-5 0-0 6 6 1 0 22 22 -
Jrue Holiday * 28 5-15 2-8 3-3 6 9 0 0 15 15 -
Grayson Allen * 27 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 4 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 8 -
AJ Green 23 5-8 5-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 15 10 -
MarJon Beauchamp 21 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 6 -
Joe Ingles 21 2-8 1-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 5 6 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 20 0-4 0-4 2-2 5 0 1 2 2 6 -
Wesley Matthews 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 37 4-14 0-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 8 2 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 35 3-11 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 0 -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 8-20 2-6 4-4 16 3 0 0 22 21 -
Zach LaVine * 31 5-16 1-5 7-7 4 2 1 0 18 9 -
Patrick Williams * 30 6-10 3-5 1-2 5 2 2 0 16 15 -
Dalen Terry 27 6-12 1-4 0-0 7 6 1 0 13 15 -
Carlik Jones 21 0-4 0-1 1-4 3 2 0 0 1 2 -
Andre Drummond 13 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 5 8 -
Malcolm Hill 6 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Tony Bradley 3 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Marko Simonovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter