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2023-02-16

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +18 (120-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 34 10-21 1-3 4-5 4 1 0 0 25 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 8-16 3-7 3-4 6 9 0 2 22 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 6-9 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 0 12 - -
Herbert Jones * 30 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 11 - -
Trey Murphy III * 20 0-6 0-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 24 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Josh Richardson 18 2-7 1-3 3-6 3 2 2 1 8 - -
Naji Marshall 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Willy Hernangomez 16 5-7 0-0 4-5 11 0 0 0 14 - -
Dereon Seabron 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 30 13-17 0-1 2-5 10 5 1 2 28 - -
LeBron James * 29 7-14 0-5 7-10 6 6 0 1 21 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 27 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 27 5-12 3-5 8-10 2 7 1 0 21 - -
Malik Beasley * 23 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Austin Reaves 22 1-2 1-2 2-3 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Dennis Schroder 19 3-4 1-1 3-6 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 15 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Mo Bamba 15 2-7 0-5 0-2 6 1 0 3 4 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 3 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -
Davon Reed 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter