Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +37 (133-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 16 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 18 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Days | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trevor Hudgins | 13 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 13-15 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 18 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter