Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 23 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 36 | 17-24 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Thomas | 21 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ben Simmons | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joe Harris | 12 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter