🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (127-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 12-17 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 28 - -
Killian Hayes * 30 3-11 2-7 2-2 2 9 2 0 10 - -
Jaden Ivey * 26 7-13 1-5 2-4 5 4 1 0 17 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 26 5-8 4-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 14 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 - -
James Wiseman 23 5-9 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Isaiah Livers 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Alec Burks 19 2-7 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 1 7 - -
Cory Joseph 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 4 1 1 8 - -
Hamidou Diallo 15 5-8 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Stanley Umude 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 1 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 15-24 6-10 2-2 9 7 0 0 38 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 4-6 1-3 0-0 7 6 6 0 9 - -
Blake Griffin * 28 4-10 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 1 9 - -
Al Horford * 27 4-9 2-5 1-2 7 0 0 0 11 - -
Derrick White * 26 3-11 2-6 3-4 4 6 2 1 11 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 28 10-14 5-8 0-0 3 6 0 0 25 - -
Sam Hauser 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Grant Williams 20 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 20 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 3 8 - -
JD Davison 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter