Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +10 (120-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 32 | 10-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 21 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 38 | 10-26 | 5-15 | 3-3 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 25 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 24 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter