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2023-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% -
Margin 17.4% 82.6% +8.6 (33.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -25 (101-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 11-20 6-10 5-6 9 2 0 1 33 - -
Bradley Beal * 32 7-15 1-5 4-5 2 4 1 0 19 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 10-15 1-3 7-7 12 5 0 1 28 - -
Monte Morris * 27 2-5 2-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Gafford * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Delon Wright 29 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 6 4 0 5 - -
Corey Kispert 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Deni Avdija 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Kendrick Nunn 13 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Taj Gibson 11 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Johnny Davis 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Quenton Jackson 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 14-30 5-17 6-7 10 6 1 0 39 - -
Cam Reddish * 32 7-12 4-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 18 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 30 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 4 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks * 27 1-4 0-0 1-2 11 2 1 4 3 - -
Anfernee Simons * 26 6-15 1-3 4-4 2 3 1 0 17 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 28 5-9 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Nassir Little 17 0-5 0-5 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 - -
Trendon Watford 13 1-3 0-0 2-5 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Jabari Walker 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Kevin Knox II 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Johnson 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter