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2023-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% -
Bradley-Terry 59.7% 40.3% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.4% 39.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +6 (131-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Williams * 47 4-10 2-4 2-3 10 4 1 0 12 - -
Mike Muscala * 43 7-16 3-10 1-2 8 0 1 0 18 - -
Derrick White * 43 10-24 3-12 4-4 2 12 3 0 27 - -
Sam Hauser * 39 6-12 3-8 0-0 9 2 1 0 15 - -
Blake Griffin * 24 6-9 3-6 0-1 6 6 1 1 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 39 8-17 2-6 8-9 4 4 0 0 26 - -
Payton Pritchard 14 2-6 1-4 1-1 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Robert Williams III 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 45 12-26 1-3 11-19 13 9 0 2 36 - -
Jrue Holiday * 43 13-21 8-12 6-6 5 7 3 0 40 - -
Pat Connaughton * 35 2-5 1-4 0-0 8 3 0 1 5 - -
Grayson Allen * 35 3-5 2-3 5-5 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 0-3 0-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Joe Ingles 31 3-7 2-6 0-0 6 3 1 0 8 - -
Khris Middleton 24 7-16 1-4 1-1 11 4 0 0 16 - -
Jevon Carter 14 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter