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2023-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“

Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (123-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markelle Fultz * 36 7-15 1-2 4-4 6 5 1 2 19 - -
Franz Wagner * 32 3-9 2-5 1-1 0 6 1 0 9 - -
Paolo Banchero * 31 5-13 0-2 3-4 1 3 0 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 11-15 3-6 1-3 6 5 1 0 26 - -
Gary Harris * 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Suggs 28 9-12 3-6 3-4 2 4 2 0 24 - -
Bol Bol 16 4-7 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Moritz Wagner 16 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Chuma Okeke 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 10-15 2-4 4-6 4 6 2 0 26 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 36 15-17 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 6 30 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 6-15 0-2 5-7 6 6 1 2 17 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 3-12 3-9 1-1 0 15 3 1 10 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 33 4-7 1-2 2-2 13 0 0 1 11 - -
Chris Boucher 23 6-8 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 1 13 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 3-4 2-3 2-3 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Thaddeus Young 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Dalano Banton 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter