Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (123-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markelle Fultz * | 36 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 11-15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 28 | 9-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 41 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 36 | 15-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 31 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 23 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter