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2023-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +9 (135-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 12-16 2-3 8-8 7 2 1 0 34 28 -
Bradley Beal * 34 13-23 3-8 4-5 3 4 1 0 33 18 -
Daniel Gafford * 28 3-4 0-0 3-4 8 5 0 0 9 18 -
Monte Morris * 28 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 8 10 -
Corey Kispert * 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 4 4 -
Kendrick Nunn 29 5-7 2-3 1-2 2 6 1 0 13 15 -
Deni Avdija 27 3-10 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 0 7 7 -
Delon Wright 19 4-6 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 10 11 -
Anthony Gill 12 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
Quenton Jackson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 12-22 3-6 2-2 7 4 0 0 29 18 -
Klay Thompson * 35 10-21 4-13 3-4 4 5 1 0 27 16 -
Kevon Looney * 30 6-7 0-0 1-1 13 4 0 0 13 23 -
Jordan Poole * 29 4-11 3-6 3-5 4 4 0 0 14 11 -
Draymond Green * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 6 2 0 4 9 -
Donte DiVincenzo 25 6-9 5-8 0-0 1 3 2 0 17 14 -
Ty Jerome 18 4-5 0-0 1-1 2 7 0 0 9 13 -
JaMychal Green 15 5-5 4-4 0-0 1 5 2 0 14 17 -
Jonathan Kuminga 13 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 7 6 -
Moses Moody 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 3 -

* = starter