Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (121-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 35 | 12-22 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 16 | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 31 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 29 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 15-23 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 27 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 38 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Green * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 11-15 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 32 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 22 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter