Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 7-11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 28 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 16-26 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter