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2023-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% -
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% -
Margin 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (144-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 39 8-14 1-3 3-3 5 4 1 0 20 16 -
De'Andre Hunter * 34 8-17 1-5 4-4 7 1 0 0 21 12 -
Trae Young * 34 7-18 2-7 9-9 2 14 2 0 25 25 -
Clint Capela * 29 11-17 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 22 16 -
Saddiq Bey * 20 4-9 3-5 1-1 5 0 0 1 12 9 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 31 4-11 3-5 0-0 4 2 2 1 11 9 -
Onyeka Okongwu 18 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 3 2 12 17 -
AJ Griffin 17 2-7 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 4 -
Jalen Johnson 13 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 3 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 41 12-19 6-10 0-0 6 15 0 0 30 32 -
P.J. Washington * 35 9-13 4-6 0-0 7 5 0 0 22 21 -
Gordon Hayward * 33 9-12 4-5 4-4 5 8 2 0 26 29 -
Terry Rozier * 33 11-19 5-12 2-3 4 5 0 2 29 21 -
Mark Williams * 29 5-7 0-0 5-6 5 0 2 2 15 17 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 23 5-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 1 12 9 -
Bryce McGowens 18 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
Nick Richards 17 1-2 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 0 6 9 -
JT Thor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter