Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +1 (119-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 37 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 37 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 27 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 22 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 10-19 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 12-26 | 6-13 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 37 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter