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2023-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 35 4-12 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 11 5 -
Desmond Bane * 33 7-14 3-7 1-1 6 7 1 2 18 20 -
Ja Morant * 33 9-18 0-4 7-11 6 7 0 0 25 20 -
Xavier Tillman * 24 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 7 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 20 6-9 2-2 1-2 7 3 1 0 15 17 -
Santi Aldama 27 2-11 2-9 3-3 7 1 1 2 9 9 -
Brandon Clarke 23 7-8 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
Luke Kennard 21 1-4 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 4 3 -
Tyus Jones 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
John Konchar 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 40 8-20 4-9 3-4 3 10 0 0 23 16 -
Jayson Tatum * 37 3-16 1-8 9-12 7 3 2 2 16 14 -
Robert Williams III * 32 5-9 0-1 0-0 16 3 1 0 10 21 -
Sam Hauser * 31 7-12 6-11 0-0 0 0 1 0 20 9 -
Al Horford * 30 5-9 4-7 2-2 9 5 0 1 16 22 -
Grant Williams 26 2-6 0-3 6-8 9 4 0 0 10 17 -
Payton Pritchard 18 4-7 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 12 9 -
Mike Muscala 16 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 10 8 -
Luke Kornet 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter