Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (133-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 11-21 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 41 | 11-20 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 40 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 40 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 17 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 41 | 12-23 | 0-4 | 12-14 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 39 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 31 | 10-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 25 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter