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2023-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 39 6-10 2-5 2-3 1 6 0 0 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 7-13 0-4 0-0 14 4 0 1 14 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 8-16 2-5 5-5 5 2 1 1 23 - -
Patrick Williams * 33 6-10 1-3 0-0 6 3 4 0 13 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 26 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 8 2 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Coby White 20 1-9 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 11 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 11 4-6 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Goran Dragic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 38 10-18 3-7 6-6 10 6 1 2 29 - -
Darius Garland * 37 6-14 3-6 4-4 2 7 0 0 19 - -
Evan Mobley * 35 6-13 2-4 0-0 6 3 2 0 14 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 10-13 0-0 3-5 10 0 0 1 23 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 3-9 1-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Caris LeVert 26 0-4 0-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 - -
Ricky Rubio 16 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 5 3 1 0 - -
Cedi Osman 13 1-4 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Dean Wade 11 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter