Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +19 (125-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 21 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 23 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 26 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter