Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (127-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 30 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 31 | 13-18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 29 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter