Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.4% | 19.6% | -7.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -14 (105-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 23 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter