Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (114-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 12-12 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 12 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter