Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -9 (129-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 39 | 13-16 | 0-1 | 18-19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 44 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 23 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort | 20 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 36 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 10-18 | 6-13 | 12-13 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter