Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | -0.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +21 (128-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 22 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 24 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 18 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 13-23 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 27 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 20 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter