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2023-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +15.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% -
Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.9% 89.1% -
Log Adjusted 10.8% 89.2% -
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +11 (127-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 37 9-22 2-7 4-4 9 10 1 0 24 22 -
P.J. Washington * 35 7-14 2-3 1-1 7 1 1 3 17 15 -
Terry Rozier * 35 9-20 3-8 6-9 1 3 3 0 27 14 -
Mark Williams * 30 4-7 0-0 3-4 12 2 0 1 11 19 -
Gordon Hayward * 29 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 8 10 -
Dennis Smith Jr. 22 3-9 1-3 2-4 2 3 2 1 9 8 -
Bryce McGowens 21 4-6 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 9 9 -
Nick Richards 17 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 7 11 -
JT Thor 9 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 13-21 5-10 10-12 4 4 1 2 41 31 -
Derrick White * 36 12-19 8-14 1-1 3 10 1 3 33 31 -
Grant Williams * 32 1-7 1-5 2-2 5 6 2 1 5 12 -
Sam Hauser * 31 4-11 4-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 7 -
Robert Williams III * 26 2-4 0-0 0-1 16 1 0 0 4 17 -
Payton Pritchard 21 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 4 -
Malcolm Brogdon 17 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 6 -
Mike Muscala 15 4-8 4-8 0-0 1 2 0 1 12 8 -
Blake Griffin 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 8 -
Luke Kornet 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter