Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (138-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaki Branham * | 42 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 42 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 35 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 36 | 9-22 | 6-16 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 43 | 3-15 | 0-7 | 11-12 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 41 | 11-24 | 0-6 | 10-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 41 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 30 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 39 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 40 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter