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2023-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 48.6% 51.4% +0.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Torrey Craig * 34 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 - -
Chris Paul * 32 5-13 0-2 5-5 5 8 3 2 15 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 10-15 0-0 3-4 2 2 1 2 23 - -
Damion Lee * 24 4-14 1-9 1-2 4 2 1 1 10 - -
Jock Landale * 19 2-6 0-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie 32 9-17 3-6 4-4 4 3 3 1 25 - -
Ish Wainright 32 4-8 3-7 6-6 4 2 3 2 17 - -
Saben Lee 19 3-6 0-0 3-5 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 10-18 5-8 11-12 7 12 2 0 36 - -
Dejounte Murray * 37 8-14 2-4 1-2 8 5 0 1 19 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 4-12 1-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 9 - -
John Collins * 31 6-12 0-2 4-4 2 0 1 0 16 - -
Clint Capela * 25 3-8 0-0 1-2 17 1 2 1 7 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 22 2-12 2-9 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 22 4-6 0-0 3-4 11 0 1 1 11 - -
AJ Griffin 15 3-7 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Johnson 11 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter