Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 37 | 15-21 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 3-16 | 3-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 19 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 14 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter